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NCAAB

Florida A&M Rattlers vs UAB Blazers

Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Matchup Analysis

The shooting profile dominates this clash, with the Rattlers’ perimeter and overall efficiency edging the Blazers. Florida A&M lands a three‑point percentage of 37.778 versus UAB’s 30.435, while field‑goal accuracy sits at 42.478 for the visitors against the home team’s 40.566, suggesting a clear edge in scoring weapons.

A glaring ATS trend haunts the Rattlers: they sit 0‑28 straight up after a loss versus a winning opponent, a win‑pct of 0.0 across a sample size of 28 games, according to the straight‑up betting record. That streak underscores the difficulty of covering a spread when the team has failed to secure a win in any of those matchups.

The scoring margin gap widens the disparity. UAB averages 74.0 points while conceding 81.0, posting a –7.0 margin. Florida A&M scores 69.5 points but yields 93.5, resulting in a –24.0 margin. The 17.0 point differential between the programs highlights the challenge the Rattlers face in staying competitive against a team that is already outscored by a smaller margin.

Pick: Florida A&M +18.5 – play.

Team Comparison

FAMU Florida A&M
Stat
UAB UAB
0-2 (0-1)
Record
1-1 (1-0)
69.5
PPG
74.0
93.5
Opp PPG
81.0

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FAMU Florida A&M Rattlers
+1400 +18.5 O 156.5
UAB UAB Blazers
-3200 -18.5 U 156.5
Source: DraftKings Updated: Nov 9, 2:10 PM
Opening line: -18.5 / O/U 156.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FAMU Florida A&M Rattlers
+558 +15.6 O 143.5
UAB UAB Blazers
-558 -15.6 U 143.5
Source: Model Updated: Nov 9, 11:35 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Florida A&M (opened at -18.5)
53% Confidence

Play to +16.4

Total
Pass
Model: 143.5 | Edge below threshold

Key Matchup Factors

Key Matchup Factors:

  • Market Total Signal (+154.50): This factor contributes +154.50 to the projection, favoring UAB.
  • Combined Tempo (+79.50): This factor contributes +79.50 to the projection, favoring UAB.
  • Scoring Margin Differential (+17.00): UAB's scoring margin advantage of 17.00 points per game is one of the strongest statistical signals in this matchup.
  • SOS-Adjusted Margin (+14.36): This factor contributes +14.36 to the projection, favoring UAB.

Recent Trends

UAB Trends:

  • UAB Blazers is 0-10 ATS in conference games
  • UAB Blazers is 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games
  • UAB Blazers is 31-7 straight up vs teams below .500
  • UAB Blazers is 19-4 straight up on a 3+ game win streak
  • UAB Blazers is 3-12 ATS with 2+ days rest

Florida A&M Trends:

  • Florida A&M Rattlers is 0-28 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
  • Florida A&M Rattlers is 1-39 straight up in non-conference games
  • Florida A&M Rattlers is 1-36 straight up vs teams above .500
  • Florida A&M Rattlers is 6-49 straight up after a loss
  • Florida A&M Rattlers is 3-24 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak

Matchup Edges

UAB

Advantages

  • Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
  • Market Total Signal contributes +154.50 points to home projection
  • Net scoring margin of -7.0 PPG per game

Disadvantages

  • Defense allows 81.0 PPG -- a vulnerability opponents exploit
  • Turnover-prone at 15.5 per game, creating extra opportunities for opponents
  • Poor home record at just 40% win rate at this venue

Florida A&M

Advantages

  • Road win rate of 100% -- proven road warriors
  • Points Allowed Differential contributes -12.50 points favoring away
  • Net scoring margin of -24.0 PPG per game

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
  • Struggling with a 0-2 (0-1) record (0% win rate)
  • Defense allows 93.5 PPG -- exploitable on the road
  • Turnover issues at 18.5 per game, amplified in road environments
  • 3-game losing streak compounds road challenges

More NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Model projection by SharpBetz; write-up generated from the numbers above and checked against them. Updated Nov 9, 2026, 11:35 PM UTC View Our Track Record