Richmond Spiders vs Temple Owls
Sunday, November 8, 2026
Matchup Analysis
Richmond's explosive shooting profile, highlighted by a 52.083 percent three‑point clip and a 60.15 percent field‑goal conversion rate, dominates the narrative against Temple’s modest 26.667 percent from deep and 45.763 percent overall. The disparity in efficiency suggests the visiting squad can generate high‑percentage looks at a pace that will challenge the home side’s defense throughout the contest.
Temple averages 68.0 points while allowing 56.0, producing a modest 12.0‑point margin, yet Richmond posts a staggering 103.5 points per game and concedes only 61.5, yielding a 42.0‑point margin. The resulting gap of –30.0 points underscores the offensive firepower gap that Temple must overcome. Such a contrast in scoring differentials points to a likely blowout in favor of the visitors.
Rest considerations favor Temple, which enjoys six days off compared with Richmond’s three, and neither team faces a back‑to‑back schedule. While the extra rest could aid the Owls, the pronounced shooting and scoring advantages held by Richmond appear too significant for the rest edge to offset.
Richmond is the pick at -120, a play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH Richmond Spiders | -120 | -1.5 | O 151.5 |
| TEM Temple Owls | +100 | +1.5 | U 151.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH Richmond Spiders | -153 | -4.3 | O 171.5 |
| TEM Temple Owls | +153 | +4.3 | U 171.5 |
Our Picks
Play to -3.5
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+151.50): This factor contributes +151.50 to the projection, favoring Temple.
- Combined Tempo (+72.25): This factor contributes +72.25 to the projection, favoring Temple.
- Pace Mismatch (-41.00): A 41.00-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with Richmond's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Per Game Differential (-35.50): Richmond's per-game scoring advantage (35.50 PPG) indicates a more productive offense.
Recent Trends
Temple Trends:
- Temple Owls is 1-6 ATS after a loss vs a winning team
- Temple Owls is 2-8 ATS at home after a loss
- Temple Owls is 2-8 ATS after a loss
- Temple Owls is 2-8 ATS vs teams above .500
- Temple Owls is 4-9 ATS at home as a favorite
Richmond Trends:
- Richmond Spiders is 0-5 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak
- Richmond Spiders is 5-1 ATS after a loss
- Richmond Spiders is 4-14 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Richmond Spiders is 2-8 straight up in their last 10 games
- Richmond Spiders is 7-2 ATS on the road as an underdog
Matchup Edges
Temple
Advantages
- Strong 1-0 (1-0) overall record (100% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- 6-day rest advantage over opponent's 3 days
- Elite defense allowing just 56.0 PPG
- Market Total Signal contributes +151.50 points to home projection
Disadvantages
- Poor home record at just 40% win rate at this venue
- Opponent's 103.5 PPG offense exceeds home defense (56.0 PPG) by 47.5
- Model win probability of only 40% despite home advantage
Richmond
Advantages
- Strong 2-0 (2-0) record (100% win rate) this season
- Potent offense averaging 103.5 PPG
- Stout defense allowing just 61.5 PPG
- Pace Mismatch contributes -41.00 points favoring away
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Facing a home offense (68.0 PPG) that exceeds road defense (61.5 PPG) by 6.5
- Averaging 61.5 PPG allowed on defense