SharpBetz
NCAAB

Tulane Green Wave vs Temple Owls

Friday, March 6, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Tulane Green Wave (17-12 (10-7)) traveling to take on Temple Owls (15-14 (9-6)) at Liacouras Center, Philadelphia, PA. The Temple hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Tulane by 5.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Temple averages 73.9 points per game, but they face a Tulane defense that holds opponents to 74.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Tulane offense puts up 72.2 PPG and faces a Temple defense allowing 71.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Temple will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.1-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Temple winning by 15 to losing by 11. The market has this game at -4.5, but our model sees value on Tulane with a 2.4-point edge. Our line: Temple -2.1. Combined with the total projection of 146 versus the market line of 144.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

TULN Tulane
Stat
TEM Temple
17-12 (10-7)
Record
15-14 (9-6)
Last 10
72.2
PPG
73.9
74.7
Opp PPG
71.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
TULN Tulane Green Wave
+170 +4.5 O 144.5
TEM Temple Owls
-205 -4.5 U 144.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 5, 5:51 AM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 144.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
TULN Tulane Green Wave
+143 +2.1 O 146
TEM Temple Owls
-143 -2.1 U 146
Source: Model Updated: Mar 5, 5:51 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Tulane (opened at -4.5)
52% Confidence

Play to -2.9

Total
Pass
Model: 146 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Temple enters at 15-14 (9-6), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Tulane sits at 17-12 (10-7) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Temple

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Tulane

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels