Duquesne Dukes vs Rhode Island Rams
Thursday, March 5, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Duquesne Dukes (16-13 (11-6)) traveling to take on Rhode Island Rams (15-14 (9-6)) at Thomas M. Ryan Center, Kingston, RI. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Rhode Island averages 71.1 points per game, but they face a Duquesne defense that holds opponents to 76.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Duquesne offense puts up 80.0 PPG and faces a Rhode Island defense allowing 69.0 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Rhode Island will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Rhode Island to win by approximately 3.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Rhode Island winning by 16 to losing by 10.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
DUQ Duquesne
Stat
URI Rhode Island
16-13 (11-6)
Record
15-14 (9-6)
Last 10
80.0
PPG
71.1
76.1
Opp PPG
69.0
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ Duquesne Dukes | +150 | +1.5 | O 143.5 |
| URI Rhode Island Rams | -150 | -1.5 | U 143.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 4, 5:45 AM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 143.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ Duquesne Dukes | +126 | +3 | O 151.1 |
| URI Rhode Island Rams | -126 | -3 | U 151.1 |
Source: Model Updated: Mar 4, 5:45 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -3 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 143.5)
65% Confidence
Play to 150.3
Recent Trends
Rhode Island enters at 15-14 (9-6), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Duquesne sits at 16-13 (11-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Rhode Island
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Duquesne
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 80.0 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Defense allows 76.1 PPG — exploitable