SharpBetz
NCAAB

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Delaware State Hornets

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features South Carolina State Bulldogs (7-21 (6-5)) traveling to take on Delaware State Hornets (6-21 (5-6)) at Memorial Hall (DE), Dover, DE. The Delaware St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the SC State by 3.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Delaware St averages 61.2 points per game, but they face a SC State defense that holds opponents to 80.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, SC State scores 66.3 PPG but faces a Delaware St defense that limits opponents to 71.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Delaware St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Delaware St to win by approximately 3.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Delaware St winning by 16 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -1.5, but our model sees value on Delaware St with a 2.1-point edge. Our line: Delaware St -3.6. Combined with the total projection of 128 versus the market line of 138.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

SCST SC State
Stat
DSU Delaware St
7-21 (6-5)
Record
6-21 (5-6)
Last 10
66.3
PPG
61.2
80.0
Opp PPG
71.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
SCST South Carolina State Bulldogs
+114 +1.5 O 138.5
DSU Delaware State Hornets
-135 -1.5 U 138.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 2, 5:54 AM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 138.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
SCST South Carolina State Bulldogs
+184 +3.6 O 127.5
DSU Delaware State Hornets
-184 -3.6 U 127.5
Source: Model Updated: Mar 2, 5:54 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Delaware St (opened at -1.5)
52% Confidence

Play to -4.4

Total
Under (opened at 138.5)
71% Confidence

Play to 128.3

Recent Trends

Delaware St has struggled this season at 6-21 (5-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for SC State at 7-21 (6-5). Traveling to face Delaware St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Delaware St

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 6-21 (5-6) raises concerns
  • Limited offense averaging just 61.2 PPG

SC State

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 7-21 (6-5) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, March 3, 2026