SharpBetz
NCAAB

DePaul Blue Demons vs Marquette Golden Eagles

Sunday, March 1, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features DePaul Blue Demons (15-13 (11-5)) traveling to take on Marquette Golden Eagles (10-18 (9-6)) at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Marquette averages 75.8 points per game, which exceeds what the DePaul defense typically allows (69.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, DePaul scores 71.5 PPG but faces a Marquette defense that limits opponents to 77.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Marquette will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Marquette winning by 12 to losing by 13. The market has this game at -4.5, but our model sees value on DePaul with a 4.9-point edge. Our line: Marquette +0.4. Combined with the total projection of 147 versus the market line of 142.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

DEP DePaul
Stat
MARQ Marquette
15-13 (11-5)
Record
10-18 (9-6)
Last 10
71.5
PPG
75.8
69.8
Opp PPG
77.0

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
DEP DePaul Blue Demons
+160 +4.5 O 142.5
MARQ Marquette Golden Eagles
-192 -4.5 U 142.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 1, 5:54 AM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 142.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
DEP DePaul Blue Demons
-102 -0.4 O 147.2
MARQ Marquette Golden Eagles
+102 +0.4 U 147.2
Source: Model Updated: Mar 1, 5:54 AM

Our Picks

Spread
DePaul (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence

Play to -0.3

Total
Over (opened at 142.5)
59% Confidence

Play to 146.5

Recent Trends

Marquette has struggled this season at 10-18 (9-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. DePaul sits at 15-13 (11-5) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Marquette

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 75.8 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 10-18 (9-6) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 77.0 PPG — a vulnerability

DePaul

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels