Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers

This NCAAB matchup features Old Dominion Monarchs (11-20 (7-6)) traveling to take on Georgia State Panthers (10-21 (7-7)) at GSU Convocation Center, Atlanta, GA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Georgia St averages 70.2 points per game, but they face a Old Dominion defense that holds opponents to 77.5 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Old Dominion offense puts up 75.4 PPG and faces a Georgia St defense allowing 74.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Georgia St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.7-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Georgia St winning by 13 to losing by 12. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on Georgia St with a 2.1-point edge. Our line: Georgia St -0.7. Combined with the total projection of 146 versus the market line of 147.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Georgia St has struggled this season at 10-21 (7-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Old Dominion at 11-20 (7-6). Traveling to face Georgia St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.