Dartmouth Big Green vs Pennsylvania Quakers

This NCAAB matchup features Dartmouth Big Green (11-13 (5-7)) traveling to take on Pennsylvania Quakers (13-11 (10-2)) at The Palestra, Philadelphia, PA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Penn averages 76.3 points per game, which exceeds what the Dartmouth defense typically allows (74.9 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Dartmouth offense puts up 76.0 PPG and faces a Penn defense allowing 74.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Penn will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Penn to win by approximately 3.7 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Penn winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Penn enters at 13-11 (10-2), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Dartmouth at 11-13 (5-7). Traveling to face Penn presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.