Nicholls Colonels vs Lamar Cardinals
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Nicholls Colonels (12-17 (5-5)) traveling to take on Lamar Cardinals (12-17 (7-8)) at Montagne Center, Beaumont, TX. The Lamar hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Nicholls by 4.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Lamar averages 71.5 points per game, but they face a Nicholls defense that holds opponents to 76.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Nicholls offense puts up 74.0 PPG and faces a Lamar defense allowing 68.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lamar will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Lamar to win by approximately 5.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lamar winning by 19 to losing by 7.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
NICH Nicholls
Stat
LAM Lamar
12-17 (5-5)
Record
12-17 (7-8)
Last 10
74.0
PPG
71.5
76.0
Opp PPG
68.8
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH Nicholls Colonels | +150 | +3.5 | O 143.5 |
| LAM Lamar Cardinals | -180 | -3.5 | U 143.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 23, 11:41 PM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 143.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH Nicholls Colonels | +201 | +5.8 | O 145.5 |
| LAM Lamar Cardinals | -201 | -5.8 | U 145.5 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 24, 4:59 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -5.8 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 145.5 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Lamar has struggled this season at 12-17 (7-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Nicholls at 12-17 (5-5). Traveling to face Lamar presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Lamar
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 12-17 (7-8) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Nicholls
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 12-17 (5-5) record this season