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NCAAB

Nicholls Colonels vs Lamar Cardinals

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Nicholls Colonels (12-17 (5-5)) traveling to take on Lamar Cardinals (12-17 (7-8)) at Montagne Center, Beaumont, TX. The Lamar hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Nicholls by 4.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Lamar averages 71.5 points per game, but they face a Nicholls defense that holds opponents to 76.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Nicholls offense puts up 74.0 PPG and faces a Lamar defense allowing 68.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lamar will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Lamar to win by approximately 5.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lamar winning by 19 to losing by 7. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

NICH Nicholls
Stat
LAM Lamar
12-17 (5-5)
Record
12-17 (7-8)
Last 10
74.0
PPG
71.5
76.0
Opp PPG
68.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
NICH Nicholls Colonels
+150 +3.5 O 143.5
LAM Lamar Cardinals
-180 -3.5 U 143.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 23, 11:41 PM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 143.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
NICH Nicholls Colonels
+201 +5.8 O 145.5
LAM Lamar Cardinals
-201 -5.8 U 145.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 24, 4:59 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -5.8 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 145.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Lamar has struggled this season at 12-17 (7-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Nicholls at 12-17 (5-5). Traveling to face Lamar presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Lamar

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 12-17 (7-8) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Nicholls

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 12-17 (5-5) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, February 24, 2026