Eastern Washington Eagles vs Sacramento State Hornets

This NCAAB matchup features Eastern Washington Eagles (9-17 (6-3)) traveling to take on Sacramento State Hornets (9-16 (9-2)) at Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Sacramento St averages 72.2 points per game, but they face a E Washington defense that holds opponents to 74.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, E Washington scores 71.9 PPG but faces a Sacramento St defense that limits opponents to 74.6 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Sacramento St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Sacramento St to win by approximately 3.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Sacramento St winning by 16 to losing by 9. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on Sacramento St with a 5.3-point edge. Our line: Sacramento St -3.8. Combined with the total projection of 144 versus the market line of 162.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Sacramento St has struggled this season at 9-16 (9-2). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for E Washington at 9-17 (6-3). Traveling to face Sacramento St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.