Central Arkansas Bears vs Stetson Hatters

This NCAAB matchup features Central Arkansas Bears (17-10 (13-1)) traveling to take on Stetson Hatters (9-18 (7-4)) at Edmunds Center, DeLand, FL. The C Arkansas hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Stetson by 10.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Stetson averages 71.7 points per game, which exceeds what the C Arkansas defense typically allows (70.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The C Arkansas offense puts up 77.6 PPG and faces a Stetson defense allowing 75.0 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stetson will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects C Arkansas to win by approximately 3.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stetson winning by 9 to losing by 16. The market has this game at +8.5, but our model sees value on Stetson with a 5.0-point edge. Our line: Stetson +3.5. Combined with the total projection of 149 versus the market line of 148.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Stetson has struggled this season at 9-18 (7-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. C Arkansas sits at 17-10 (13-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.