Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Final Score Gardner-Webb 66 - Charleston So 75
Spread: L
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (3-25 (3-9)) traveling to take on Charleston Southern Buccaneers (13-15 (9-3)) at Buccaneer Fieldhouse, Charleston, SC. The Charleston So hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Gardner-Webb by 12.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Charleston So averages 74.3 points per game, but they face a Gardner-Webb defense that holds opponents to 78.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb scores 67.1 PPG but faces a Charleston So defense that limits opponents to 73.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Charleston So will look to leverage their home crowd. The Charleston So are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 12.1-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Charleston So winning by 25 to losing by 0.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
GWEB Gardner-Webb
Stat
CHSO Charleston So
3-25 (3-9)
Record
13-15 (9-3)
Last 10
67.1
PPG
74.3
78.4
Opp PPG
73.0
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEB Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | +950 ↓ | +16.5 ↓ | O 161.5 |
| CHSO Charleston Southern Buccaneers | -1650 ↑ | -16.5 ↑ | U 161.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:39 PM
Opening line: -17.5 / O/U 160.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEB Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | +497 | +12.1 | O 141.4 |
| CHSO Charleston Southern Buccaneers | -497 | -12.1 | U 141.4 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 6:58 PM
Our Picks
Spread
L
Charleston So (opened at -17.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 141.4 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Charleston So has struggled this season at 13-15 (9-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Gardner-Webb at 3-25 (3-9). Traveling to face Charleston So presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Charleston So
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 13-15 (9-3) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Gardner-Webb
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 3-25 (3-9) record this season