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NBA

Orlando Magic vs LA Clippers

Monday, February 23, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NBA matchup features Orlando Magic (29-26 (17-9)) traveling to take on LA Clippers (27-29 (14-11)) at Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Clippers averages 112.1 points per game, but they face a Magic defense that holds opponents to 114.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Magic offense puts up 115.3 PPG and faces a Clippers defense allowing 112.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Clippers will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.5-point margin. Expect a tight finish. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

ORL Magic
Stat
LAC Clippers
29-26 (17-9)
Record
27-29 (14-11)
Last 10
115.3
PPG
112.1
114.8
Opp PPG
112.6

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ORL Orlando Magic
+110 +1.5 O 215.5
LAC LA Clippers
-130 -1.5 U 215.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 215.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ORL Orlando Magic
+196 +2.5 O 227.4
LAC LA Clippers
-196 -2.5 U 227.4
Source: Model Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -2.5 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 215.5)
85% Confidence

Recent Trends

Clippers has struggled this season at 27-29 (14-11). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Magic sits at 29-26 (17-9) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Clippers

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 112.1 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 27-29 (14-11) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 112.6 PPG — a vulnerability

Magic

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 115.3 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Defense allows 114.8 PPG — exploitable

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