SharpBetz
NBA

Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday, February 22, 2026

Final Score 76ers 111 - Pelicans 126
Spread: Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NBA matchup features Philadelphia 76ers (30-25 (15-15)) traveling to take on New Orleans Pelicans (15-42 (9-21)) at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA. The 76ers hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Pelicans by 6.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Pelicans averages 114.6 points per game, but they face a 76ers defense that holds opponents to 115.9 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, 76ers scores 116.0 PPG but faces a Pelicans defense that limits opponents to 120.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Pelicans will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects 76ers to win by approximately 3.5 points. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

PHI 76ers
Stat
NO Pelicans
30-25 (15-15)
Record
15-42 (9-21)
Last 10
116.0
PPG
114.6
115.9
Opp PPG
120.7

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
PHI Philadelphia 76ers
-170 -3.5 O 235.5
NO New Orleans Pelicans
+142 +3.5 U 235.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM
Opening line: +3.5 / O/U 232.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
PHI Philadelphia 76ers
-259 -3.5 O 233.7
NO New Orleans Pelicans
+259 +3.5 U 233.7
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:33 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: 3.5 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 233.7 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Pelicans has struggled this season at 15-42 (9-21). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. 76ers sits at 30-25 (15-15) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Pelicans

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 114.6 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 15-42 (9-21) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 120.7 PPG — a vulnerability

76ers

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 116.0 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Defense allows 115.9 PPG — exploitable

More NBA Picks for Sunday, February 22, 2026